November election tax outlook for investors

1 MIN. READ

Proactive tax planning is essential to protect clients' wealth and ensure their financial strategies remain sound. As the 2024 U.S. election approaches, financial advisors should prepare for any potential shifts in tax policies that could significantly affect investors. Let’s explore how the election could reshape the tax landscape, highlighting the differing implications of potential Democratic and Republican administrations, and outlining strategies advisors can use to guide their clients through possible changes.

Potential election outcomes and related tax strategies

Currently, tax policies impacting investors include various income tax rates, capital gains taxes, estate taxes, and corporate taxes. Because there are two possible outcomes to the 2024 election, we can anticipate two distinct tax scenarios:

Wealth management tax strategies under a Democratic administration:

Under a Democratic administration, potential changes could include higher income tax rates for top earners, increased capital gains taxes, lower estate tax exemptions, and the closure of tax loopholes. These adjustments would likely lead to increased tax burdens, particularly for individuals with significant income, substantial investment portfolios, or sizeable estates.1

In this scenario, advisors may want to discuss the following strategies with their clients:

  • Implement proactive tax planning: Encourage tax management strategies like Roth conversions, tax-loss harvesting, and charitable giving. Roth conversions can help clients lock in current tax rates and create tax-free income for the future, while tax-loss harvesting allows clients to offset gains with losses, reducing overall tax liability. Charitable giving strategies, such as donating appreciated assets or setting up donor-advised funds, can provide significant tax benefits while supporting causes that clients care about.
  • Conduct estate planning adjustments: Review estate plans to maximize current exemptions and minimize future tax liabilities. Advisors should ensure that clients' estate plans are up to date and take advantage of current exemption limits, which could change after the election. This might include strategies like gifting assets to heirs, setting up trusts, or leveraging life insurance to cover future estate tax liabilities, ensuring a smoother wealth transfer process.
  • Encourage investment portfolio diversification: Emphasize tax-efficient investments, such as municipal bonds and tax-advantaged accounts. Advisors should guide clients to allocate assets across a variety of investment vehicles that provide tax benefits, including municipal bonds that offer tax-free interest income and accounts like IRAs or 401(k)s, which provide tax-deferred or tax-free growth. This helps clients reduce their taxable income and enhances overall portfolio efficiency.
Wealth management tax strategies under a Republican administration

Under a Republican administration, potential changes could involve the preservation of current tax cuts, maintaining favorable capital gains rates, higher estate tax exemptions, and additional incentives for business owners. These measures would likely result in a reduced tax burden, creating opportunities for wealth accumulation and tax-efficient growth.2

In this very different scenario, advisors may want to discuss the following strategies with their clients:

  • Maximizing tax savings: Help clients take advantage of existing tax breaks, especially for business owners and investors. This could involve guiding clients to utilize deductions, credits, and other incentives, such as those for business expenses, R&D, or investing in qualified opportunity zones. For business owners, consider strategies like accelerated depreciation and expense deductions, while investors may benefit from utilizing tax-advantaged accounts and capital loss carryovers to offset gains.
  • Focus on long-term investment planning: Focus on strategies that benefit from favorable capital gains and estate tax policies. Advisors should encourage clients to hold investments for the long term to take advantage of lower capital gains tax rates, as well as to explore tax-efficient investment options like index funds, ETFs, and tax-free municipal bonds. In the realm of estate planning, advisors can recommend gifting strategies, family limited partnerships, and trusts to maximize the benefits of current estate tax exemptions.
  • Explore retirement planning strategies: Explore strategies for efficient funding and distribution of retirement accounts. This includes helping clients make the most of tax-advantaged retirement plans, such as 401(k)s, IRAs, and Roth IRAs, by contributing the maximum allowable amounts each year. Advisors should also discuss efficient withdrawal strategies to minimize tax burdens during retirement, such as the timing of distributions, Roth conversions, and utilizing qualified charitable distributions (QCDs) to lower taxable income.

Is there a possibility that one party wins the White House and a different party sweeps Congress, resulting in gridlock? Absolutely. But experts expect that some tax policy change will occur regardless. This is because current tax cuts for middle income individuals are set to expire in 2025. Both parties have been vocal that they do not want tax increases on individuals making less than $400,000/year. So, it is fairly safe to assume that regardless of which party wins the White House and which party wins Congress, tax policies will change in 2025. Some believe that Republicans hope to move quickly in spring 2025, but more likely changes will occur much later in the year with plenty of advance discussion and preparation time.3

Key tax planning strategies for investors for any outcome

Regardless of the election outcome, advisors should strive to regularly discuss tax management strategies with their clients. Such strategies might include:

  • Tax diversification: Encourage clients to diversify their tax strategies across taxable, tax-deferred, and tax-free assets to maintain flexibility. This approach can help mitigate the impact of future tax changes by spreading tax liabilities across different types of accounts, ensuring clients can draw from the most tax-efficient sources depending on their needs and the prevailing tax environment.
  • Estate and trust planning: Review estate plans and consider trusts or gifting strategies to capitalize on current exemptions and plan for future changes. Given the possibility of changes to estate tax exemptions, advisors should help clients take advantage of the current limits while they last, ensuring that wealth transfer plans are optimized and that trusts are structured to minimize estate tax liabilities and maximize asset protection.
  • Capital gains management: Help clients strategically realize gains or losses based on anticipated tax rate changes. This may involve timing the sale of appreciated assets to take advantage of current rates or harvesting losses to offset gains, reducing overall tax liability. Advisors should also review clients’ investment portfolios to ensure that capital gains strategies align with their broader financial goals.

By utilizing strategies like the three above, advisors can help clients maintain flexibility, minimize tax liabilities, and align their financial strategies with evolving tax policies, regardless of the outcome of the election.

Navigating election-year tax uncertainty as a financial advisor

Financial advisors play a crucial role in guiding clients through the complexities of an election year. Maintaining transparency and consistent communication is essential to keep clients informed about potential tax changes. Advisors should also stay informed by closely monitoring developments and proposed policy changes, ensuring they can provide timely and well-informed advice. Additionally, it's important to tailor tax planning strategies to each client’s unique circumstances, goals, and risk tolerance, ensuring a customized approach that meets their specific needs.

The 2024 election could bring significant changes to the tax code and financial advisors must be prepared to help their clients navigate these potential shifts. One thing we do know amidst this uncertainty — Your clients want to hear from you! By proactively planning and staying informed, advisors can ensure that their clients' financial strategies remain resilient, no matter the outcome.


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The information, analysis and opinions expressed herein are for informational purposes only and do not necessarily reflect the views of Envestnet. These views reflect the judgment of the author as of the date of writing and are subject to change at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this piece is intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, securities, or investment advice, nor an opinion regarding the appropriateness of any investment, nor a solicitation of any type.

 

Envestnet is not a law firm and as such, does not provide legal or regulatory advice or opinions to any party or client. You should always consult your relevant regulatory authorities or legal counsel as applicable.

 

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1 "2024 Tax Plans," Tax Foundation, last accessed October 24, 2024.

2 "2024 Tax Plans," Tax Foundation, last accessed October 24, 2024.

3 Strategas Election Webinar, October 22, 2024.